Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Trend Assessment: Senegal’s government tries to catch a big fish

    April 28, 2017

    The campaign ahead of legislative elections in July is intensifying following the arrest of the capital city Dakar’s popular mayor on suspicion of embezzlement of public funds. His supporters claim that it is a politically motivated move intended to obstruct his presidential aspirations ahead of a presidential election in 2019. In addition, the accusations against the city’s leader have galvanised ...

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  • Situation Report – Malawi’s Maizegate

    March 31, 2017

    With a USD250 million corruption scandal still simmering, new bribery allegations relating to maize imports are increasing political risk in Malawi. A suspicious deal to import maize from Zambia has prompted the dismissal of a senior minister and the deployment of Malawi’s army at its borders, as the government tries to prevent smuggling due to food shortages. On 27 March police seized 21 trucks loaded with maize (corn) bound for Tanzania, but tobacco and other goods are also being targeted as President Peter Mutharika and his government try to assuage voter concerns over corruption and its impact on their lives.

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  • Trend Assessment: Gabon faces bleak economic outlook as investors leave

    March 16, 2017


    The central African country of Gabon was plunged into a political crisis last August after presidential elections which the runner-up, Jean Ping, refused to recognise as legitimate. On 28 February, President Ali Bongo Ondimba, whose dynasty has run Gabon since the 1960s, announced the start of a three-week national dialogue to seek a political agreement to the impasse. ...

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  • Situation Report: Angola enters a new era with an old guard

    March 1, 2017

    Angola’s long-sitting president steps down, but power remains within his family and immediate entourage of political cronies.

    Africa’s second-longest serving president, José Eduardo dos Santos of Angola, confirmed in early February that he would not seek another term in office at the next legislative elections in August; the winning party nominates the ...

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  • Situation Report: Ghana — New government, old debt

    February 28, 2017

      Ghana has a new government since early January, but old demons are likely to spook investors and increase political risk in the longer term.

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