Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Situation Report: Guinea’s balancing act in mining

    August 14, 2017

    Corruption investigations and constitutional reform are increasing political and stability risk in Guinea.

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  • Trend Assessment: South Africa has gone from bad to worse

    July 28, 2017

    On 8 August, President Jacob Zuma will be subjected to a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly, the lower house of the legislature. That is the ninth time Zuma has faced similar actions, but this time the outcome could be politically fatal as the Constitutional Court allows it to be conducted through secret ballot. However, the parliament speaker, Baleka Mbete – an ally of Zuma – has not given any indication on whether that will be the case. Underneath it all lies appalling governance, and allegations of a series of major corruption scandals are shaking the foundations of the presidency, the ruling party, and the core of the South African economy. 

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  • Trend Assessment: Tanzania’s toughening stance against miners

    June 30, 2017

    One of Africa’s fastest-growing economies, Tanzania, is intent on refining its mineral resources domestically. But an uncertain policy environment and the erratic behaviour of the president is likely to reduce investor confidence, which risks dampening a decade of strong growth.

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  • MADAGASCAR: Growing trend of kidnap-for-ransom targeting business owners

    June 30, 2017

    Criminal gangs in Madagascar's capital Antananarivo are kidnapping Indo-Pakistani business owners at an increasing rate.

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  • Spreading insecurity in Mali increases security risks in west Sahel

    June 23, 2017

    The west Sahelian state of Mali is facing increased security threats and a protracted political crisis that risks unmaking a peace process whose implementation is lagging. This raises the security-risk level across the Sahel and west Africa, as non-state armed groups in Mali have the capability to strike outside of their traditional area of operations.

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