Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Case Study: Ethiopia’s garment industry, between high potential and low yield

    December 21, 2017

    Ethiopia's government has recognised the strategic potential of garment manufacturing and has offered a range of incentives to foreign investors. However, many challenges remain, posing major reputational risks to international firms.

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  • Trend Assessment: Cameroon’s Anglophone problem

    November 20, 2017

    Since October 2016, growing secessionist sentiment has been brewing in Cameroon’s English-speaking regions. What originally began as a protest movement by legal practitioners and teachers using the English language, claiming that the majority French-speaking administration was discriminating against them on linguistic grounds, has gained momentum and escalated into violent confrontation between security forces and protesters, as well as armed attacks on government targets. A symbolic unilateral declaration of independence or the government’s reticence to engage in a constructive dialogue suggests the trend will continue over the next year. 

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  • Trend Assessment: Somalia’s security paradox

    November 2, 2017

    Amid a perceived improvement of the security situation in Mogadishu, investors have begun flocking back to the capital, creating new fiduciary pressures which are again exacerbating the security environment.

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  • Liberia’s general elections, a litmus test

    September 28, 2017

    On 10 October, Liberians will elect their next president and two legislative chambers in a watershed election with a potential for reigniting old grievances. The incumbent, President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, is stepping down in accordance with the constitution which limits her to two six-year terms in office. However, there is no clear winning candidate on either side of the ruling party or the opposition, suggesting the election will be open to some surprises which will likely be determined in a run-off between the two main contenders.

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  • Zimbabwe’s Big Man falls ill

    August 21, 2017

    With one year left until the next general election – due to take place between July and August next year – the battle to succeed President Robert Mugabe is heating up. Again. Mugabe, the nonagenarian president who would rule Zimbabwe in perpetuity if he could, has travelled to Singapore three times this year for medical treatment. The authorities have stated that he has travelled there for routine medical checks, but his age and a growing number of demands for him to name a successor suggest otherwise. Although Mugabe’s succession has repeatedly been on the agenda for the past decade, the 2018 general election is likely to be a watershed moment for Zimbabwe’s future trajectory.

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