Sub-Saharan Africa

Cameroon’s Anglophone problem grows into an armed conflict

The militant independence movement that has been brewing in the Anglophone regions since December led to a marked escalation in hostilities in April and May. National elections planned for October are unlikely to appease the situation. On the one hand, the government will do anything it can to stifle the unrest; on the other, secessionist militants will attempt to disrupt the poll. This points to a further deterioration in Cameroon’s security environment in the three-month outlook.

Election Watch: Burundi’s constitutional referendum

On 17 May, Burundian voters will decide if they want to sanction amendments to the constitution. The new text would allow President Pierre Nkurunziza to run for another two seven-year terms from 2020. In addition, the proposed constitution is likely to bring changes to the structure of the Burundian administration. First, it will allow bills in parliament ...

Snapshot: May Day risks

May Day on 1 May is marked by workers’ rallies and marches around the globe, bringing risks that range from traffic disruption through to violence involving protesters and the authorities.

Trend Assessment: Islamist militants expand their operations in the Sahel

Islamist militants in the Sahel are staging increasingly sophisticated attacks, posing a risk in ostensibly secure areas, including the regional capitals. This is occurring amid an influx of financial and material support which could pose additional risks to Western interests in the region.

Snapshot: Easter risks

Easter, the most important Christian festival, brings significant security and travel risks, spanning everything from potential terrorist attacks on places of worship to striking airline cabin crew disrupting holiday plans. Here are some.

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