Election Watch: Zimbabwe’s watershed election
July 4, 2018Zimbabwe faces a watershed moment. General elections in July will be the first without Robert Mugabe at the helm of the ruling party. Political alliances have become increasingly factionalised, while voters appear undecided. A2 Global Risk outlines the main political risks international investors should consider in the one-year outlook.
Read moreCameroon’s Anglophone problem grows into an armed conflict
June 7, 2018The militant independence movement that has been brewing in the Anglophone regions since December led to a marked escalation in hostilities in April and May. National elections planned for October are unlikely to appease the situation. On the one hand, the government will do anything it can to stifle the unrest; on the other, secessionist militants will attempt to disrupt the poll. This points to a further deterioration in Cameroon’s security environment in the three-month outlook.
Read moreElection Watch: Burundi’s constitutional referendum
May 3, 2018On 17 May, Burundian voters will decide if they want to sanction amendments to the constitution. The new text would allow President Pierre Nkurunziza to run for another two seven-year terms from 2020. In addition, the proposed constitution is likely to bring changes to the structure of the Burundian administration. First, it will allow bills in parliament ...
Read moreSnapshot: May Day risks
April 30, 2018May Day on 1 May is marked by workers’ rallies and marches around the globe, bringing risks that range from traffic disruption through to violence involving protesters and the authorities.
Read moreTrend Assessment: Islamist militants expand their operations in the Sahel
April 6, 2018Islamist militants in the Sahel are staging increasingly sophisticated attacks, posing a risk in ostensibly secure areas, including the regional capitals. This is occurring amid an influx of financial and material support which could pose additional risks to Western interests in the region.
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