Sub-Saharan Africa

  • 2019 Global Risk Forecast – Sub-Saharan Africa

    January 18, 2019

    In 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa will see political transitions undermine security and increase travel risks in the two largest economies – Nigeria and South Africa – while unfinished or long-delayed political transitions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Ethiopia will present stability risks.

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  • SNAPSHOT: Al-Shabaab attack in Nairobi highlights terror risk to hotels and business travellers

    January 17, 2019

    On 15 January 2019, militants from Somalia-based insurgent group al-Shabaab attacked the DusitD2 Hotel complex in Kenya's capital Nairobi, killing at least 14 people. The attack demonstrates the terror risk posed by al-Shabaab in Nairobi and throughout the wider region.

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  • Namibia’s new land policies promise little redistribution

    December 28, 2018

    In a likely political move ahead of general elections next November, President Hage Geingob discontinued the ‘willing seller, willing buyer’ land scheme during the country’s second National Land Conference on 1 October – a policy that aims to address racial injustice left since colonial times but without coercive government expropriation of land. Official national land statistics from 2018 showed that the 10 per cent white minority own 70 per cent of Namibia’s commercial and freehold farmland, while black Namibians owned only 16 per cent.

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  • From ground to cars: Mapping risks in the cobalt supply chain

    November 22, 2018

    Demand for electric vehicles is witnessing explosive growth. Meeting this demand requires the metal cobalt. The following report traces the cobalt supply chain and explores the risks related to its production.

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  • ELECTION WATCH: Split São Toméan parliament increases stability and political risks

    November 15, 2018

    On 22 November, 55 new São Toméan lawmakers will take office, but marginal swings in the 7 October general elections promise little change and a likely political deadlock over the next five years. Days of rioting and violent protests, including in the capital São Tomé, followed the constitutional court on 19 October confirming the ruling Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) had ...

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