Sub-Saharan Africa

  • From ground to cars: Mapping risks in the cobalt supply chain

    November 22, 2018

    Demand for electric vehicles is witnessing explosive growth. Meeting this demand requires the metal cobalt. The following report traces the cobalt supply chain and explores the risks related to its production.

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  • ELECTION WATCH: Split São Toméan parliament increases stability and political risks

    November 15, 2018

    On 22 November, 55 new São Toméan lawmakers will take office, but marginal swings in the 7 October general elections promise little change and a likely political deadlock over the next five years. Days of rioting and violent protests, including in the capital São Tomé, followed the constitutional court on 19 October confirming the ruling Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) had ...

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  • Trend Assessment: Ghana, the spending spree continues

    November 14, 2018

    On 15 November, Minister of Finance Ken Ofori-Atta will present his second mid-term budget during a period of rapid but fragile economic growth. To ensure continued financing of the government’s ambitious policy programme, Ofori-Atta promises to issue a mind-boggling USD50 billion 100-year bond. That would be the world’s first ’century bond’, which follows the series of publicly guaranteed bonds, worth ...

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  • Trend Assessment: Ethiopia’s restart after the grace period

    September 20, 2018

    Ethiopia’s new prime minister has re-ignited hopes of a more stable Horn of Africa region and the liberation of the Ethiopian economy. However, his ambitious reforms and rapprochement with former foes could drive bribery risks and upset some elite networks which could in turn increase stability risk.

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  • Sierra Leone’s anti-corruption drive presents growing political risks

    August 2, 2018

    Based a promise of tackling rampant corruption and mismanagement of public funds Sierra Leone's new president has ordered an audit into the former government and called for investigations into senior officials, including the former president. This raises the political risk to foreign investors and increases the likelihood of political protest and inter-communal violence in the six-month outlook. 

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