Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Case study: Ethiopia’s long-awaited but nascent oil and gas sector

    April 1, 2019

    On 16 February, officials from Ethiopia and Djibouti signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to build a pipeline that will transport gas extracted in southern Ethiopia’s Ogaden region, in the Somali Regional State (SRS). The MoU confirmed that Ethiopia’s nascent oil and gas sector was finally picking up pace. It also underscored China’s growing influence in both Djibouti and Ethiopia.

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  • Election Watch: DR Congo’s political transition indicates continuity

    February 4, 2019

    The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has a new president since 24 January. Although this was a historic day in Congolese history – it was effectively the first peaceful transition of power since independence from Belgium in 1960 – President Félix Tshisekedi Tshilombo is unlikely to bring about the significant changes that the DRC needs or that many investors were hoping for during the next five years. In line with A2 Global’s previous warnings, ex-president Joseph Kabila and his allies will remain in control of government policies, businesses and the courts, indicating that businesses will face political and bureaucratic continuity despite ambitious promises made by Tshisekedi during his election campaign.

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  • 2019 Global Risk Forecast – Sub-Saharan Africa

    January 18, 2019

    In 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa will see political transitions undermine security and increase travel risks in the two largest economies – Nigeria and South Africa – while unfinished or long-delayed political transitions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Ethiopia will present stability risks.

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  • SNAPSHOT: Al-Shabaab attack in Nairobi highlights terror risk to hotels and business travellers

    January 17, 2019

    On 15 January 2019, militants from Somalia-based insurgent group al-Shabaab attacked the DusitD2 Hotel complex in Kenya's capital Nairobi, killing at least 14 people. The attack demonstrates the terror risk posed by al-Shabaab in Nairobi and throughout the wider region.

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  • Namibia’s new land policies promise little redistribution

    December 28, 2018

    In a likely political move ahead of general elections next November, President Hage Geingob discontinued the ‘willing seller, willing buyer’ land scheme during the country’s second National Land Conference on 1 October – a policy that aims to address racial injustice left since colonial times but without coercive government expropriation of land. Official national land statistics from 2018 showed that the 10 per cent white minority own 70 per cent of Namibia’s commercial and freehold farmland, while black Namibians owned only 16 per cent.

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