Europe & Russia

  • Election Watch: Britain’s election increases ‘hard Brexit’ risks

    June 16, 2017

    Contrary to media claims that Britain’s hung parliament improves the chances for retaining much of the status quo in terms of the country’s relationship with the European Union, A2 finds that it instead empowers British regional interests who will resist easy compromises.

    Read more
  • Emmanuel Macron’s uphill struggle

    May 19, 2017

    On 7 May, Emmanuel Macron won the French presidential elections, winning 66 per cent of the votes in the second round of elections, against the far-right candidate Marine Le Pen’s 34 per cent. In a symbolic move, he chose to celebrate his victory outside the Louvre, a world-famous museum in the capital Paris, as opposed to Place de la Concorde ...

    Read more
  • Russian Roulette: the challenges of investing in Russia

    April 28, 2017

    After all but deserting Russia, foreign businesses are cautiously returning to take advantage of a weak currency. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has increased in 2016, recovering significantly from the nadir of 2014-2015. However, they face significant challenges not experienced by domestic firms. Rampant corruption, a weak economy and strong anti-West sentiment mean that foreign direct investment has still not returned ...

    Read more
  • What does a Brexit mean for politics?

    April 3, 2017

    Executive Summary

    • Britain’s decision to leave the E.U. is now irreversible. The result of yesterday's 23 June referendum revealed a fault-line in national politics which the major parties must now address.
    • Tax revenues will fall as a result of the vote, necessitating a reallocation of the tax burden that is likely to produce a backlash against those politicians who initially stand to gain from the result.
    • It is likely that the immediate threat of Scottish or Northern Irish secession is overstated, given the economic outlook and public mood respectively. Anglo-Spanish tensions over Gibraltar will escalate.

    Read more
  • MALTA: Small country, big problems

    March 27, 2017

    Malta took on the rotating presidency of the E.U. at the beginning of the year, but members of the European Parliament are concerned that the country is not capable of leading the bloc in its major anti-money-laundering drive. The Panama Papers, a massive document leak that revealed the offshore banking practices of the world’s elite in April 2016, has damaged ...

    Read more