Europe & Russia

  • Snapshot: Easter risks

    March 29, 2018

    Easter, the most important Christian festival, brings significant security and travel risks, spanning everything from potential terrorist attacks on places of worship to striking airline cabin crew disrupting holiday plans. Here are some.

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  • Case study: Europe’s central bank too frail to stop Russian money-laundering

    March 8, 2018

    For the past decade the European Central Bank has been the apex bank supervisor within the Eurozone, the E.U.’s 19-member single currency area. Its remit includes the prevention of money-laundering, but the influence of Russian-linked criminal funds in peripheral E.U. states is now exposing the ECB’s limitations in this regard.

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  • Ukraine: Corruption risks soar as Western influence subsides

    February 15, 2018

    Ukraine is a large, fertile and populous country, of the kind that tends to attract foreign investment. Scratching beneath the surface, however, suggests that corruption, far from being cured by the country’s revolution of four years ago, is imperilling political stability and poses a serious risk to business operations.

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  • Election watch: Italy

    January 17, 2018

    Polls suggest that no party will win a majority in Italy’s general election in March. The outcome is likely to be a coalition or minority government that will be so fragile as to have implications for the European Union.

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  • 2018 Global Risk Forecast – Europe

    January 5, 2018

    Europe faces a multitude of challenges in 2018, not least the disruptive influence of Russia, particularly in the Balkans, as well as preparations for the U.K.’s exit from the E.U. in the midst of political turmoil in large member states such as Germany and Spain. The threat of terrorist attacks, both from Islamists and far-right extremists, will remain the major security risk.

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