Europe & Russia

  • Election watch: Italy

    January 17, 2018

    Polls suggest that no party will win a majority in Italy’s general election in March. The outcome is likely to be a coalition or minority government that will be so fragile as to have implications for the European Union.

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  • 2018 Global Risk Forecast – Europe

    January 5, 2018

    Europe faces a multitude of challenges in 2018, not least the disruptive influence of Russia, particularly in the Balkans, as well as preparations for the U.K.’s exit from the E.U. in the midst of political turmoil in large member states such as Germany and Spain. The threat of terrorist attacks, both from Islamists and far-right extremists, will remain the major security risk.

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  • The Fifa World Cup in Russia: A poisoned chalice

    January 2, 2018

    In 2018, Russia will host one of the most-watched sports events in the world: the Fifa World Cup. A total of 32 national teams will compete in 64 games to decide the winner. However, among the excitement lie major political and security concerns that Russia will struggle to address.

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  • Theresa May, isolated but irreplaceable

    November 30, 2017

    Prime Minister Theresa May is vulnerable and isolated as the U.K. comes closer to her self-imposed December deadline to begin trade talks with the E.U. over post-Brexit trade. But without a challenger, she looks set to remain in office for at least two more years.

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  • Case Study: Sebastian Kurz, Austria’s Boy King?

    October 24, 2017

    Austria’s two main parties have shared power in grand coalitions for over a decade. But now the conservative ÖVP is poised to bring the country further right.

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