Europe & Russia

  • Snapshot: Martial law in Ukraine – a proportional response to the Kerch Strait naval dispute?

    December 6, 2018

    The introduction of martial law in Ukraine over the Kerch Strait incident highlights existing regional stability risks

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  • Can Theresa May’s high-stakes Brexit gamble pay off?

    November 28, 2018

    KEY POINTS

    • On 25 November, the leaders of the 27 E.U. member states officially endorsed the draft agreement on the U.K.’s withdrawal from the bloc, at a summit in Brussels.
    • The U.K.’s departure is scheduled for 29 March 2019 and the next step of the exit process requires the government to obtain a majority vote in support of the deal in parliament.
    • A vote in the House of Commons, the lower house of a bicameral legislature, is set to take place on 11 December.
    • Prime Minister Theresa May is unlikely to succeed in obtaining the necessary votes for the agreement to pass through parliament.

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  • Situation Report: A closer look at the impact of E.U. and U.S. sanctions on foreign businesses in Russia

    July 27, 2018

    Western sanctions against Russia are backfiring. Four years on, they have strengthened Russia’s domestic production while creating compliance and reputational risks for Western multinationals. That Western countries are now effectively placing sanctions on each other makes the anti-Russian response even less tenable.

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  • Glass half full: How water-intensive companies can mitigate risk

    June 21, 2018

    The U.N. forecasts that over the next seven years, the number of people facing water scarcity will double to some 1.8 billion. If accurate, this will have negative security and political implications for water-intensive industries. Those most at risk are water-intensive producers of non-food crops such as tobacco and cotton, carbonated beverage plants, sporting and leisure parks, mining, and industries such as steel and paper production.

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  • The future customs arrangement between the U.K. and the E.U.

    June 5, 2018

    Talks between the European Union and the United Kingdom over Brexit – the latter’s exit from the former – have stalled. The impasse is the result of heated debate within the British government over how much control over Britain’s policy – if any – to cede to Brussels once the country has left the pan-European bloc.

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